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How many copies did Army of Tentacles: (Not) A Cthulhu Dating Sim sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before the cut
from 91 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Army of Tentacles: (Not) A Cthulhu Dating Sim out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Army of Tentacles: (Not) A Cthulhu Dating Sim's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 634k–1.3M
best case 2.1M (Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc)
Games like Army of Tentacles: (Not) A Cthulhu Dating Sim

The middle of these games

≈ 634k–1.3M copies

≈ $2.2M–$16.2M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $8.8M–$23.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Visual Novel, priced around $20.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–869k
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$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before the cut
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Senren*Banka
2020
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≈ 915k–1.5M
1.7x vs typical
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Find Love or Die Trying
2021
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≈ 297k–482k
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Dating SimVisual Novel
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 798k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$8.8M–$23.6M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.3M before the cut
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Visual NovelDetective
Monster Prom
2018
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≈ 436k–708k
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$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before the cut
$11.99
14k reviews
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Dating SimComedy
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
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≈ 1.4M–2.2M
1.5x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before the cut
$19.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.5M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel

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