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How many copies did UnderDread sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before the cut
from 137 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left UnderDread out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including UnderDread's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 409k–746k
best case 5.4M (Firewatch)
Games like UnderDread

The middle of these games

≈ 409k–746k copies

≈ $2.8M–$6.4M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Firewatch at ≈ 4.1M–6.7M copies, ≈ $22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (8 of 8) and Walking Simulator (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Exploration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Adventure + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Exit 8
2023
Est. copies
≈ 284k–462k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$312k–$839k after Steam's cut $567k–$1.3M before the cut
$3.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before the cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
9.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$93.9M before the cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.4M–$49.5M after Steam's cut $33.4M–$76.1M before the cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichOpen World
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 765k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.4M before the cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
The Vanishing of Ethan Carter
2014
Est. copies
≈ 503k–817k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before the cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryAtmospheric
Yume Nikki
2018
Est. copies
≈ 320k–521k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
IndieFree to Play

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