How much revenue did Grand Pigeon's Duty make?

$28k–$75k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Grand Pigeon's Duty sell?

Q: How many copies did Grand Pigeon's Duty sell?

25k to 41k copies, based on its 609 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–41k; $28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$115k before the cut; from 609 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Grand Pigeon's Duty out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grand Pigeon's Duty's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 55k–89k

best case 541k (Pixel Piracy)

Games like Grand Pigeon's Duty

The middle of these games

≈ 55k–89k copies

≈ $416k–$754k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Pixel Piracy at ≈ 412k–669k copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 470 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 15 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8) and Side Scroller (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Sandbox, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Action Roguelike + Pirates + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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