How much revenue did OXENFREE II: Lost Signals make?

$282k–$758k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did OXENFREE II: Lost Signals sell?

Q: How many copies did OXENFREE II: Lost Signals sell?

51k to 83k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 51k–83k; $282k–$758k after Steam's cut $513k–$1.2M before the cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left OXENFREE II: Lost Signals out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OXENFREE II: Lost Signals's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 250k–567k

best case 4.9M (Alan Wake)

Games like OXENFREE II: Lost Signals

The middle of these games

≈ 250k–567k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Alan Wake at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Horror (6 of 8) and Mystery (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Alan Wake 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M 7.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.7M before the cut	$14.99	59k reviews Very Positive	ActionHorror
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Alan Wake's American Nightmare 2012	Est. copies ≈ 677k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before the cut	$8.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure