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wishvane

How many copies did Quantum Break sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$14.1M–$38.0M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before the cut
from 31k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Quantum Break out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Quantum Break's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 455k–1.5M
best case 11.3M (Life is Strange - Episode 1)
Games like Quantum Break

The middle of these games

≈ 455k–1.5M copies

≈ $1.7M–$11.2M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Platformer (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Life is Strange - Episode 1 at ≈ 8.6M–13.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (4 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Life is Strange - Episode 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–13.9M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
176k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Prince of Persia®: The Sands of Time
2008
Est. copies
≈ 333k–542k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Prince of Persia: Warrior Within™
2008
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Katana ZERO
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.2M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$14.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction
Braid
2009
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before the cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
The Silent Age
2015
Est. copies
≈ 351k–570k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$964k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickSide Scroller
Singularity™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 374k–608k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before the cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
DEATHLOOP
2021
Est. copies
≈ 755k–1.2M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.5M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.5M before the cut
$59.99
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSAction

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