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How big is Bear With Me - Episode One?

Estimated owners
≈ 42k–68k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Bear With Me - Episode One out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bear With Me - Episode One's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.7M
best case 5.3M (Max Payne 3)
Games like Bear With Me - Episode One

The middle of these games

≈ 1.2M–2.7M copies

≈ $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Max Payne 3 at ≈ 4.1M–6.6M copies, ≈ $22.3M–$59.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 8) and Bullet Time (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Bullet Time, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Max Payne
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before the cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
ActionNoir
Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne
2008
Est. copies
≈ 919k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before the cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ActionNoir
The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before the cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
Murdered: Soul Suspect
2014
Est. copies
≈ 973k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before the cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveAdventure
NIGHT-RUNNERS™ PROLOGUE
2024
Est. copies
≈ 556k–904k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22k reviews
Very Positive
Racing1990's
Batman - The Telltale Series
2016
Est. copies
≈ 756k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before the cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterAdventure
Max Payne 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.3M–$59.9M after Steam's cut $40.5M–$92.1M before the cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter
Alice: Madness Returns
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before the cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFemale Protagonist

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