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How many copies did Max Payne sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before the cut
from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Max Payne out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Max Payne's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 67k–1.2M
best case 3.6M (Mafia: Definitive Edition)
Games like Max Payne

The middle of these games

≈ 67k–1.2M copies

≈ $300k–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mafia: Definitive Edition at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $30.1M–$80.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 836 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 75 to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before the cut
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Max Payne 2: The Fall of Max Payne
2008
Est. copies
≈ 919k–1.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before the cut
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ActionNoir
Mafia: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$30.1M–$80.8M after Steam's cut $54.6M–$124.3M before the cut
$39.99
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Open WorldCrime
Whiskey.Mafia. Leo's Family
2020
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≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before the cut
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Black The Fall
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Est. copies
≈ 63k–103k
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$260k–$699k after Steam's cut $473k–$1.1M before the cut
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IndieAdventure
Mafia II: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 953k–1.5M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.1M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.5M before the cut
$29.99
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ActionAdventure
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Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$57k–$153k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before the cut
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PlatformerAdventure
The Saboteur™
2024
Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$198k–$533k after Steam's cut $360k–$819k before the cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure

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