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How many copies did The Hex sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 168k–274k
$463k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $841k–$1.9M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Hex out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including The Hex's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–3.6M
best case 4.9M (Alan Wake)
Games like The Hex

The middle of these games

≈ 2.1M–3.6M copies

≈ $18.8M–$23.8M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Alan Wake at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (4 of 5) and Choices Matter (2 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Third Person, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Life is Strange: Before the Storm
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before the cut
$16.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Life is Strange 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
DREDGE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.0M before the cut
$26.99
56k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationFishing
Alan Wake
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.7M before the cut
$14.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHorror

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