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wishvane

How many copies did >observer_ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 204k–331k
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left >observer_ out and predicted the genre from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including >observer_'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 99k–181k
best case 332k (I Have No Mouth, and I Must Scream)
Games like >observer_

The middle of these games

≈ 99k–181k copies

≈ $947k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: I Have No Mouth, and I Must Scream at ≈ 253k–411k copies, ≈ $695k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 868 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 364 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (4 of 6) and Stealth (3 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Point & Click + Horror, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ECHO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 63k–103k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$435k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $790k–$1.8M before the cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sci-fiStealth
Apsulov: End of Gods
2019
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$271k–$729k after Steam's cut $493k–$1.1M before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureHorror
I Have No Mouth, and I Must Scream
2013
Est. copies
≈ 253k–411k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$695k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickAdventure
Observer: System Redux
2020
Est. copies
≈ 74k–121k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$613k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorInvestigation
Receiver 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$418k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $759k–$1.7M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Golden Light
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99k–161k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $992k–$2.3M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
3DAction

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