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wishvane

How many copies did Observer: System Redux sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74k–121k
$613k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Observer: System Redux out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Observer: System Redux's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–112k
best case 510k (Cyber Manhunt)
Games like Observer: System Redux

The middle of these games

≈ 10k–112k copies

≈ $50k–$505k after Steam's cut

from ~456 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Horror (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Cyber Manhunt at ≈ 389k–632k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 105 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 20 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (3 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cyber Manhunt
2021
Est. copies
≈ 389k–632k
34x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
No Time
2019
Est. copies
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4.8x vs typical
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Est. revenue
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Dry Drowning
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Est. revenue
$82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before the cut
$19.99
517 reviews
Very Positive
FuturisticAdventure
Ship Of Mist
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≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
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41 reviews
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Nikopol: Secrets of the Immortals
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$4.99
394 reviews
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XXX_CYBERRAT_XXX
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Overwhelmingly Positive
CookingPhysics

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