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How many copies did Bad Pad sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before the cut
from 49 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Bad Pad out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bad Pad's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26k–63k
best case 229k (Prince of Persia The Lost Crown)
Games like Bad Pad

The middle of these games

≈ 26k–63k copies

≈ $96k–$619k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Prince of Persia The Lost Crown at ≈ 175k–284k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 205 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Metroidvania (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Exploration, priced around $30.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lone Fungus
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Est. copies
≈ 29k–48k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$162k–$434k after Steam's cut $294k–$668k before the cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before the cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Bō: Path of the Teal Lotus
2024
Est. copies
≈ 42k–69k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$233k–$626k after Steam's cut $424k–$964k before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
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MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Fallen Rebellion
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before the cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Super Win the Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$81k–$217k after Steam's cut $147k–$334k before the cut
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MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Aeterna Noctis
2021
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
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$29.99
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MetroidvaniaDifficult
Genopanic
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Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$97k before the cut
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MetroidvaniaAtmospheric
You are Peter Shorts
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Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$21k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$89k before the cut
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210 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaBeat 'em up

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