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How many copies did Victoria 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
$20.8M–$55.9M after Steam's cut $37.8M–$86.0M before the cut
from 61k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Victoria 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Victoria 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–6.3M
best case 17.5M (Sid Meier's Civilization® V)
Games like Victoria 3

The middle of these games

≈ 1.5M–6.3M copies

≈ $14.0M–$118.1M after Steam's cut

from ~75k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier's Civilization® V at ≈ 13.3M–21.6M copies, ≈ $109.7M–$295.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (7 of 8) and Grand Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Turn-Based, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Europa Universalis IV
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$119.2M–$320.5M after Steam's cut $216.8M–$493.1M before the cut
$49.99
137k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Sid Meier's Civilization VII
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before the cut
$69.99
58k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyHistorical
Crusader Kings III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$48.8M–$131.2M after Steam's cut $88.7M–$201.9M before the cut
$49.99
143k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyMedieval
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 673k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.6M before the cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Sid Meier's Civilization® V
2010
Est. copies
≈ 13.3M–21.6M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$109.7M–$295.1M after Steam's cut $199.5M–$454.0M before the cut
$29.99
211k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.8M–$66.6M after Steam's cut $45.0M–$102.4M before the cut
$39.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 926k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.6M–$20.5M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.6M before the cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Victoria II
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.7M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.7M before the cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy

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