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wishvane

How many copies did SteamWorld Dig 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 312k–508k
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before the cut
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left SteamWorld Dig 2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SteamWorld Dig 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–5.3M
best case 25.3M (Hollow Knight)
Games like SteamWorld Dig 2

The middle of these games

≈ 3.9M–5.3M copies

≈ $32.6M–$52.6M after Steam's cut

from ~96k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.2M–31.3M copies, ≈ $79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (6 of 8) and Metroidvania (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Difficult + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.2M–$102.8M after Steam's cut $69.5M–$158.2M before the cut
$24.99
183k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before the cut
$19.99
71k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.2M–31.3M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut $144.2M–$328.1M before the cut
$14.99
559k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.3M after Steam's cut $54.3M–$123.5M before the cut
$29.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania

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