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How many copies did Ergastulum: Dungeon Nightmares III sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before the cut
from 84 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ergastulum: Dungeon Nightmares III out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ergastulum: Dungeon Nightmares III's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.5M–16.5M
best case 87.5M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Ergastulum: Dungeon Nightmares III

The middle of these games

≈ 6.5M–16.5M copies

≈ $71.8M–$233.9M after Steam's cut

from ~194k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 66.7M–108.4M copies, ≈ $183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (5 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$14.99
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HorrorFirst-Person
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$44.4M–$119.3M after Steam's cut $80.6M–$183.5M before the cut
$29.99
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ZombiesMultiplayer
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.8M–$112.3M after Steam's cut $76.0M–$172.8M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.7M–108.4M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut $333.1M–$757.9M before the cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$87.8M–$236.2M after Steam's cut $159.7M–$363.4M before the cut
$39.99
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Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.5M before the cut
$29.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror

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