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How big is Confess My Love?

Estimated owners
≈ 168k–273k
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Confess My Love out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Confess My Love's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 636k–1.6M
best case 2.9M (OMORI)
Games like Confess My Love

The middle of these games

≈ 636k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.0M–$32.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Multiple Endings (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.8M before the cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk
2021
Est. copies
≈ 553k–898k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut
$8.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 915k–1.5M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.4M before the cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Yog-Sothoth’s Yard
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
$10.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDating Sim
Catherine Classic
2019
Est. copies
≈ 323k–525k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before the cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentAnime
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before the cut
$15.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
CLANNAD
2015
Est. copies
≈ 532k–865k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.7M after Steam's cut $12.0M–$27.2M before the cut
$44.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
STEINS;GATE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$38.1M before the cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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