Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Rival Megagun sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before the cut
from 76 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rival Megagun out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rival Megagun's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 182k–403k
best case 474k (Nova Drift)
Games like Rival Megagun

The middle of these games

≈ 182k–403k copies

≈ $593k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Nova Drift at ≈ 361k–587k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Shoot 'Em Up (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Arena Shooter, priced around $18.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LUFTRAUSERS
2014
Est. copies
≈ 253k–411k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$695k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
IndieBullet Hell
Star of Providence
2017
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$477k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $867k–$2.0M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons.
2017
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$644k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellGreat Soundtrack
Voidigo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$167k–$448k after Steam's cut $303k–$689k before the cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Nova Drift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 361k–587k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before the cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Savant - Ascent
2013
Est. copies
≈ 176k–286k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$399k before the cut
$1.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
RANK RUNNER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 461–749
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$125–$337 after Steam's cut $228–$519 before the cut
$0.99
16 reviews
Mostly Positive
Bullet HellRunner
Beat Hazard
2010
Est. copies
≈ 471k–765k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.3M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.