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How many copies did OUTRIDERS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before the cut
from 61k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left OUTRIDERS out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OUTRIDERS's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.2M–18.3M
best case 56.1M (Warframe)
Games like OUTRIDERS

The middle of these games

≈ 4.2M–18.3M copies

≈ $52.1M–$152.8M after Steam's cut

from ~151k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.7M–69.4M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 49k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 24k to 470k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (5 of 8) and Looter Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2026, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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3.2x vs typical
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