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wishvane

How many copies did SEASON: A letter to the future sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 52k–84k
$354k–$953k after Steam's cut $645k–$1.5M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left SEASON: A letter to the future out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SEASON: A letter to the future's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–27k
best case 193k (The Test: Hypothesis Rising)
Games like SEASON: A letter to the future

The middle of these games

≈ 7k–27k copies

≈ $40k–$150k after Steam's cut

from ~444 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Test: Hypothesis Rising at ≈ 147k–239k copies, ≈ $80k–$216k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 89 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 22 to 449.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Multiple Endings, priced around $2.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Test: Hypothesis Rising
2020
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before the cut
$1.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
NOSTALGIC TRAIN
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before the cut
$11.99
195 reviews
Mostly Positive
The Imagined Leviathan: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
160 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureStory Rich
The Testing Chamber
2022
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $44k–$99k before the cut
$4.99
704 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationChoices Matter
Dry Drowning
2019
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before the cut
$19.99
517 reviews
Very Positive
FuturisticAdventure
times infinity
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$910–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$1.99
67 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureOpen World
Cooking Companions
2021
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$123k–$331k after Steam's cut $224k–$510k before the cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Timeloop: Sink Again Beach
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$125k before the cut
$11.99
370 reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePirates

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