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How many copies did Guppy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
from 44 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Guppy out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Guppy's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 44k–158k
best case 858k (Maneater)
Games like Guppy

The middle of these games

≈ 44k–158k copies

≈ $327k–$633k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Maneater at ≈ 653k–1.1M copies, ≈ $7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 371 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 18 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (5 of 8) and Underwater (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Dark Humor, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Among Ripples
2015
Est. copies
≈ 71k–115k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySimulation
Maneater
2021
Est. copies
≈ 653k–1.1M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's cut $13.1M–$29.7M before the cut
$39.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldDark Humor
The Fisherman - Fishing Planet
2019
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$345k–$927k after Steam's cut $627k–$1.4M before the cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Mixed
FishingSports
Aquatico
2023
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$148k–$399k after Steam's cut $270k–$614k before the cut
$24.99
871 reviews
Mixed
City BuilderStrategy
Chillquarium
2023
Est. copies
≈ 207k–337k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$341k–$917k after Steam's cut $620k–$1.4M before the cut
$5.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorIdler
My Koi
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$24k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before the cut
$4.99
693 reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingSimulation
Northern Journey
2021
Est. copies
≈ 92k–149k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$302k–$812k after Steam's cut $549k–$1.2M before the cut
$11.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericFPS
Beyond Blue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$206k–$555k after Steam's cut $375k–$853k before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
UnderwaterAdventure

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