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How many copies did Rise of the Third Power sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$81k–$218k after Steam's cut $147k–$335k before the cut
from 594 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rise of the Third Power out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rise of the Third Power's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20.6M–38.0M
best case 39.3M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Rise of the Third Power

The middle of these games

≈ 20.6M–38.0M copies

≈ $270.0M–$879.9M after Steam's cut

from ~685k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.0M–48.7M copies, ≈ $494.5M–$1329.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 307k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 171k to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.2M–34.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut $635.1M–$1444.8M before the cut
$59.99
854k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.6M–46.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$471.3M–$1267.1M after Steam's cut $856.9M–$1949.4M before the cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.0M–48.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$494.5M–$1329.5M after Steam's cut $899.1M–$2045.4M before the cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before the cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.6M–25.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$172.0M–$462.5M after Steam's cut $312.8M–$711.6M before the cut
$39.99
376k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$152.1M–$408.9M after Steam's cut $276.5M–$629.1M before the cut
$59.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.2M–70.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut $1079.9M–$2456.7M before the cut
$49.99
885k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.7M–25.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.4M–$347.8M after Steam's cut $235.2M–$535.1M before the cut
$29.99
516k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer

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