wishvane
How many copies did Mega Man 11 sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 161k–262k
$1.3M–$3.6M net $2.4M–$5.5M gross
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mega Man 11 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mega Man 11's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.5M–8.5M
best case 42.1M (Geometry Dash)
The 2D lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 7.2M copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 7.2M copies
≈ $69.9M after Steam's cut
from ~182k reviews
Best case
≈ 42.1M copies
Geometry Dash · ≈ $81.2M after Steam's cut
from 617k reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

3 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 2 are breakout hits far above it, and 3 are too small to compare.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Great Soundtrack + 2D, priced around $10.
  • The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Music + Level Editor; a typical game here doesn't.
  • None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.6M–$41.9M net $28.3M–$64.5M gross
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opPlatformer +6
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.6M–$42.0M net $28.4M–$64.5M gross
$19.99
71k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$37.9M–$102.0M net $68.9M–$156.9M gross
$24.99
182k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.3M net $21.1M–$48.1M gross
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 18.9M–30.7M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$78.0M–$209.6M net $141.7M–$322.5M gross
$14.99
550k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaSouls-like +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$40.7M–$109.6M net $74.1M–$168.6M gross
$19.99
215k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultCartoon +6
2014
Est. copies
≈ 32.1M–52.1M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$44.0M–$118.3M net $80.0M–$182.0M gross
$4.99
617k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M net $43.6M–$99.2M gross
$19.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerDifficult +6

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Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples