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How many copies did Rusty Lake Paradise sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 230k–374k
$252k–$678k after Steam's cut $459k–$1.0M before the cut
from 8k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rusty Lake Paradise out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rusty Lake Paradise's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.5M–12.5M
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like Rusty Lake Paradise

The middle of these games

≈ 5.5M–12.5M copies

≈ $47.5M–$74.1M after Steam's cut

from ~166k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (5 of 8) and Physics (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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CasualSports
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PuzzlePhysics
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CatsAdventure
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≈ 9.8M–16.0M
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$13.5M–$36.2M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before the cut
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Tower DefenseZombies
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2016
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≈ 9.4M–15.3M
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Co-opFunny
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BeautifulMetroidvania
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IndiePuzzle
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CasualRelaxing

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