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How many copies did Sable sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 159k–259k
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sable out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sable's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22.2M–27.2M
best case 31.7M (Cyberpunk 2077)
Games like Sable

The middle of these games

≈ 22.2M–27.2M copies

≈ $165.9M–$349.4M after Steam's cut

from ~434k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Cyberpunk 2077 at ≈ 24.2M–39.3M copies, ≈ $399.0M–$1072.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Open World, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.2M–31.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut $144.2M–$328.1M before the cut
$14.99
559k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–34.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.9M–$308.8M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.1M before the cut
$19.99
428k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$301.6M–$810.8M after Steam's cut $548.3M–$1247.4M before the cut
$59.99
439k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.0M–27.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$93.5M–$251.3M after Steam's cut $169.9M–$386.6M before the cut
$19.99
269k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$399.0M–$1072.8M after Steam's cut $725.5M–$1650.4M before the cut
$59.99
975k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$152.1M–$408.9M after Steam's cut $276.5M–$629.1M before the cut
$59.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World

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