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How many copies did Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 624k–1.0M
$6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.8M before the cut
from 21k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–7.4M
best case 27.8M (Baldur's Gate 3)
Games like Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden

The middle of these games

≈ 1.9M–7.4M copies

≈ $17.7M–$66.2M after Steam's cut

from ~87k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.2M–34.4M copies, ≈ $349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 12k to 268k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Turn-Based Combat (5 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Dungeons & Dragons + Character Customization + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.2M–$124.2M after Steam's cut $84.0M–$191.0M before the cut
$24.99
162k reviews
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≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.2M before the cut
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2023
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≈ 21.2M–34.4M
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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≈ 4.5M–7.4M
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≈ 2.2M–3.5M
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≈ 7.1M–11.5M
2.4x vs typical
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205k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
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2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
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Life SimMultiple Endings

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