How much revenue did Project Winter make?

$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Project Winter sell?

Q: How many copies did Project Winter sell?

549k to 893k copies, based on its 19k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 549k–893k; $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before the cut; from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Project Winter out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Project Winter's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 64.7M–124.1M

best case 813.7M (Counter-Strike 2)

Games like Project Winter

The middle of these games

≈ 64.7M–124.1M copies

from ~1.5M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 620.0M–1007.5M copies.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 10 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 76k.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on FPS (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
The era: The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 94.5M–153.6M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.7M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 75.3M–122.4M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.5M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Apex Legends™ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26.4M–43.0M SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.1M reviews Mixed	Free to PlayBattle Royale
Counter-Strike 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 620.0M–1007.5M 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9.8M reviews Very Positive	FPSShooter
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.3M–80.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	780k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Clan of Death 2021	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	16 reviews Positive	MythologyCasual
SnowDown 2024	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before the cut	$4.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	CasualParty Game
XIO: REVIVE 2022	Est. copies ≈ 670–1k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $920–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut	$4.99	27 reviews Mostly Negative	Early AccessPost-apocalyptic