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How many copies did X-COM: UFO Defense sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 252k–410k
$346k–$931k after Steam's cut $629k–$1.4M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left X-COM: UFO Defense out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including X-COM: UFO Defense's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–83k
best case 244k (Fallout Tactics: Brotherhood of Steel)
Games like X-COM: UFO Defense

The middle of these games

≈ 22k–83k copies

≈ $57k–$170k after Steam's cut

from ~697 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout Tactics: Brotherhood of Steel at ≈ 186k–302k copies, ≈ $511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sci-fi (7 of 8) and Turn-Based (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Post-apocalyptic + Turn-Based, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

X-COM: Terror From the Deep
2007
Est. copies
≈ 59k–97k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$82k–$219k after Steam's cut $148k–$337k before the cut
$4.99
940 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based
Fallout Tactics: Brotherhood of Steel
2009
Est. copies
≈ 186k–302k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $929k–$2.1M before the cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Post-apocalypticRPG
X-COM: Apocalypse
2008
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$83k–$222k after Steam's cut $150k–$342k before the cut
$4.99
954 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based
UFO: Aftermath
2014
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before the cut
$3.99
343 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTactical
Master of Orion 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 73k–118k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$120k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$494k before the cut
$5.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Strategy4X
Master of Orion 1
2016
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$128k before the cut
$5.99
453 reviews
Very Positive
Strategy4X
Pax Nova
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$77k–$207k after Steam's cut $140k–$319k before the cut
$24.99
452 reviews
Mixed
Strategy4X
Chaos Galaxy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$128k before the cut
$14.99
302 reviews
Very Positive

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