Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Swarmlake sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 59k–96k
$81k–$217k after Steam's cut $147k–$334k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Swarmlake out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Swarmlake's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.3M
best case 7.9M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like Swarmlake

The middle of these games

≈ 1.1M–1.3M copies

≈ $4.9M–$8.9M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.0M–9.7M copies, ≈ $49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 29k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (8 of 8) and Arena Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fast-Paced + FPS, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Fast-Paced + Boomer Shooter + Blood; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2004 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quake Champions
2022
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.7M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut $89.9M–$204.5M before the cut
$29.99
242k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Half-Life 2: Deathmatch
2004
Est. copies
≈ 969k–1.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
BATTALION: Legacy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 470k–763k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Mixed
FPSArena Shooter
Quake
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before the cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
Quake Live
2014
Est. copies
≈ 889k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before the cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
Splitgate
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
111k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Starship Troopers: Extermination
2024
Est. copies
≈ 827k–1.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.2M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpAction

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.