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How many copies did Atomfall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 142k–230k
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Atomfall out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Atomfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–4.9M
best case 27.4M (Fallout 4)
Games like Atomfall

The middle of these games

≈ 4.4M–4.9M copies

≈ $29.7M–$48.2M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 20.9M–34.0M copies, ≈ $114.9M–$308.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (7 of 7) and First-Person (6 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Post-apocalyptic + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.8M–$37.1M after Steam's cut $25.1M–$57.1M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.4M–$49.5M after Steam's cut $33.5M–$76.1M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–34.0M
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.9M–$308.8M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.1M before the cut
$19.99
428k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Far Cry® 4
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.9M–$91.0M after Steam's cut $61.6M–$140.0M before the cut
$29.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.8M after Steam's cut $84.4M–$192.0M before the cut
$29.99
185k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before the cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG

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