How much revenue did Cartonfall make?

$8k–$23k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cartonfall sell?

Q: How many copies did Cartonfall sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 134 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before the cut; from 134 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Cartonfall out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cartonfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–7.3M

best case 26.7M (BeamNG.drive)

Games like Cartonfall

The middle of these games

≈ 1.8M–7.3M copies

≈ $19.1M–$145.0M after Steam's cut

from ~70k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.3M–33.0M copies, ≈ $139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Simulation (8 of 8) and Physics (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hand Simulator: Horror 2020	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before the cut	$2.99	894 reviews Mixed	SimulationMultiplayer
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $78.6M–$211.3M after Steam's cut $142.9M–$325.1M before the cut	$39.99	146k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.3M–33.0M 5.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $139.6M–$375.3M after Steam's cut $253.8M–$577.4M before the cut	$24.99	416k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Goat Simulator 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.7M before the cut	$9.99	70k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFunny
Wreckfest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$42.9M before the cut	$29.99	41k reviews Very Positive	RacingDestruction
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerPhysics
Freddy Fazbear's Pizzeria Simulator 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	33k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayHorror
MudRunner 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.3M–$22.3M after Steam's cut $15.1M–$34.4M before the cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	OffroadSimulation