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How many copies did Desert Child sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$36k–$96k after Steam's cut $65k–$147k before the cut
from 355 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Desert Child out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Desert Child's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–40k
best case 51k (Instruments of Destruction)
Games like Desert Child

The middle of these games

≈ 6k–40k copies

≈ $30k–$55k after Steam's cut

from ~736 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Instruments of Destruction at ≈ 39k–63k copies, ≈ $214k–$575k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 322 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 26 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action-Adventure (4 of 7) and Racing (4 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Destruction + Physics, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Instruments of Destruction
2024
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$214k–$575k after Steam's cut $389k–$884k before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
DestructionPhysics
Precursors
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$67k before the cut
$14.99
115 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationHero Shooter
Epic Roller Coasters
2018
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
784 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySimulation
Scrapland Remastered
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$67k before the cut
$19.99
118 reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerAction
Cart Racer
2017
Est. copies
≈ 37k–61k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$21k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$85k before the cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAction
Let It Flow
2021
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
736 reviews
Very Positive
ActionRacing
Just Ride:Apparent Horizon 狂飙:极限视界
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before the cut
$19.99
188 reviews
Mostly Positive
ViolentAction

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