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How many copies did Roundguard sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before the cut
from 574 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Roundguard out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Roundguard's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–4k
best case 1.2M (Peggle Deluxe)
Games like Roundguard

The middle of these games

≈ 3k–4k copies

≈ $2k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~69 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Peggle Deluxe at ≈ 908k–1.5M copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Physics (7 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Physics, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Peggle Deluxe
2007
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
208x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before the cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
Deep Under the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before the cut
$9.99
59 reviews
Mixed
ArcadePhysics
Rollers of the Realm
2014
Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$452k before the cut
$9.99
711 reviews
Very Positive
PinballRPG
Mini Tone - Minimalist Puzzle
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$1.99
69 reviews
Mixed
PuzzlePool
Super High Ball: Pinball Platformer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before the cut
$9.99
43 reviews
Positive
ANOIX
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before the cut
$4.99
95 reviews
Mostly Positive
PinballPhysics
Oik 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before the cut
$0.99
171 reviews
Very Positive
IndieCasual
Pinball Spire
2024
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $110k–$250k before the cut
$14.99
591 reviews
Very Positive
PinballExploration

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