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How many copies did Last Tide sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–56k
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Last Tide out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Last Tide's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–4.1M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Last Tide

The middle of these games

≈ 2.3M–4.1M copies

≈ $19.5M–$39.5M after Steam's cut

from ~79k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Battle Royale (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 115 to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Battle Royale (4 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + FPS + Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Super Animal Royale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
45k reviews
Very Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
138k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
469k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
MORDHAU
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.9M–$72.3M after Steam's cut $48.9M–$111.2M before the cut
$29.99
113k reviews
Mostly Positive
MedievalMultiplayer
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Eternal Return
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayAnime

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