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How many copies did USA 2020 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before the cut
from 260 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left USA 2020 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including USA 2020's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 210k–540k
best case 20.5M (Hearts of Iron IV)
Games like USA 2020

The middle of these games

≈ 210k–540k copies

≈ $606k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Bullet Hell (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.6M–25.4M copies, ≈ $214.5M–$576.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Bullet Hell (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Strategy + World War II + Grand Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wolfenstein: Youngblood
2019
Est. copies
≈ 457k–743k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before the cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Mixed
ActionCo-op
Alien Shooter 2: Reloaded
2009
Est. copies
≈ 227k–369k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$312k–$838k after Steam's cut $566k–$1.3M before the cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AliensLooter Shooter
永远消失的幻想乡 ~ The Disappearing of Gensokyo
2018
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$329k–$884k after Steam's cut $598k–$1.4M before the cut
$10.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeBullet Hell
Hunt Down The Freeman
2018
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$379k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $689k–$1.6M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Mixed
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.6M–25.4M
60x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$214.5M–$576.7M after Steam's cut $390.0M–$887.2M before the cut
$49.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
12 is Better Than 6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 501k–814k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before the cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionShooter
Die Erdnussbutter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$398–$1k after Steam's cut $724–$2k before the cut
$0.99
59 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeAction
DEEP SPACE WAIFU
2017
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

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