Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 400k–650k
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before the cut
from 14k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 404k–2.1M
best case 7.1M (Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition)
Games like The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan

The middle of these games

≈ 404k–2.1M copies

≈ $1.8M–$14.8M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition at ≈ 5.4M–8.8M copies, ≈ $89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 166 to 72k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (7 of 8) and Co-op (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Co-op, priced around $60.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Quarry
2022
Est. copies
≈ 616k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.5M–$42.0M before the cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterMultiple Endings
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.5M before the cut
$59.99
219k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
Lunch Lady
2021
Est. copies
≈ 322k–523k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$442k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $804k–$1.8M before the cut
$4.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Little Hope
2020
Est. copies
≈ 266k–433k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before the cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiple Endings
Deceit
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Mostly Positive
PvPMultiplayer
Beyond: Two Souls
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.2M before the cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureChoices Matter
Choo-Choo Charles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before the cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Ghost Exile
2022
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$474k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $862k–$2.0M before the cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.