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How many copies did Supreme Commander: Forged Alliance sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 906k–1.5M
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before the cut
from 14k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Supreme Commander: Forged Alliance out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Supreme Commander: Forged Alliance's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 835k–1.1M
best case 1.1M (Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III)
Games like Supreme Commander: Forged Alliance

The middle of these games

≈ 835k–1.1M copies

≈ $5.5M–$9.7M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III at ≈ 820k–1.3M copies, ≈ $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on RTS (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Warhammer 40K + RTS, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer® 40,000: Dawn of War® - Soulstorm
2008
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≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Iron Harvest
2020
Est. copies
≈ 395k–643k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before the cut
$29.99
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RTSStrategy
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2007
Est. copies
≈ 753k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before the cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War III
2017
Est. copies
≈ 820k–1.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$39.99
24k reviews
Mixed
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Command & Conquer™ Red Alert™ 3
2009
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≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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16k reviews
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Family FriendlyLevel Editor
Supreme Commander 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before the cut
$12.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Planetary Annihilation: TITANS
2015
Est. copies
≈ 717k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.5M before the cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
RTSStrategy
Starship Troopers: Terran Command
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298k–484k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before the cut
$29.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS

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