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How many copies did Shadows of Doubt sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 440k–715k
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before the cut
from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Shadows of Doubt out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadows of Doubt's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 21k–38k
best case 607k (Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator)
Games like Shadows of Doubt

The middle of these games

≈ 21k–38k copies

≈ $101k–$195k after Steam's cut

from ~883 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator at ≈ 462k–751k copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 752 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 73 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (5 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Crime + Open World, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Open World + Crime + Top-Down Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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AdventureDriving

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