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How many copies did SIMULACRA 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 42k–68k
$92k–$247k after Steam's cut $167k–$380k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left SIMULACRA 2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SIMULACRA 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 207k–472k
best case 655k (The Test)
Games like SIMULACRA 2

The middle of these games

≈ 207k–472k copies

≈ $278k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Test at ≈ 499k–811k copies, ≈ $273k–$734k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 732 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 75 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Choices Matter (5 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation, priced around $2.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–811k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before the cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Cyber Manhunt
2021
Est. copies
≈ 389k–632k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SIMULACRA
2017
Est. copies
≈ 161k–261k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$221k–$593k after Steam's cut $401k–$913k before the cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorDetective
Pathologic 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 350k–569k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before the cut
$34.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
The Test: Final Revelation
2020
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$73k–$196k after Steam's cut $132k–$301k before the cut
$1.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationChoose Your Own Adventure
Escape Room - Der kranke Kollege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 311k–506k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFree to Play
Breakout 13
2023
Est. copies
≈ 185k–301k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$509k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $926k–$2.1M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
FMVInteractive Fiction
The Test: Hypothesis Rising
2020
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before the cut
$1.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings

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