Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did My Beautiful Paper Smile sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–17k
$43k–$117k after Steam's cut $79k–$179k before the cut
from 424 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left My Beautiful Paper Smile out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including My Beautiful Paper Smile's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 706k–1.5M
best case 1.4M (Firework)
Games like My Beautiful Paper Smile

The middle of these games

≈ 706k–1.5M copies

≈ $815k–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Firework at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 713 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (8 of 8) and Psychological Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bad Dream: Coma
2017
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$189k–$508k after Steam's cut $343k–$781k before the cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickAdventure
Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before the cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
Bad Dream: Fever
2018
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
Cube Escape Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 197k–320k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$270k–$726k after Steam's cut $491k–$1.1M before the cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$959k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before the cut
$2.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fran Bow
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before the cut
$14.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 837k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before the cut
$17.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Rusty Lake Hotel
2016
Est. copies
≈ 439k–713k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$240k–$645k after Steam's cut $436k–$993k before the cut
$1.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.