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How many copies did Isle of Pan sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
from 44 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Isle of Pan out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Isle of Pan's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–3.9M
best case 5.6M (The Long Dark)
Games like Isle of Pan

The middle of these games

≈ 3k–3.9M copies

≈ $18k–$39.7M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Long Dark at ≈ 4.2M–6.9M copies, ≈ $23.4M–$62.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 33 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 20 to 624.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (8 of 8) and Photo Editing (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
40x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before the cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Long Dark
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.9M
94x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$62.8M after Steam's cut $42.5M–$96.6M before the cut
$19.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Mexico, 1921. A Deep Slumber.
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before the cut
$19.99
58 reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureExploration
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
75x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$93.9M before the cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Flutter Away
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before the cut
$12.99
121 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationHidden Object
Shutter Stroll
2024
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$5.99
26 reviews
Positive
ExplorationProcedural Generation
Pupperazzi: The Dog Photography Game
2022
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$75k–$202k after Steam's cut $137k–$311k before the cut
$19.99
552 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPhoto Editing
SEASON: A letter to the future
2023
Est. copies
≈ 52k–84k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$354k–$953k after Steam's cut $645k–$1.5M before the cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldMystery

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