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How many copies did Ritual: Spellcasting RPG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 893–1k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut
from 31 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ritual: Spellcasting RPG out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ritual: Spellcasting RPG's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–4.4M
best case 5.3M (Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™)
Games like Ritual: Spellcasting RPG

The middle of these games

≈ 2.5M–4.4M copies

≈ $24.3M–$31.7M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™ at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $55.1M–$148.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Fantasy (7 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fantasy + Third Person, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Third Person + Mature + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before the cut
$19.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.1M–$148.2M after Steam's cut $100.2M–$228.0M before the cut
$49.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$31.4M–$84.3M after Steam's cut $57.0M–$129.7M before the cut
$19.99
90k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut
2008
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.7M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.7M before the cut
$9.99
87k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.8M–$37.1M after Steam's cut $25.1M–$57.1M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
Lords of the Fallen
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.6M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.1M before the cut
$29.99
56k reviews
Mixed
Souls-likeExploration
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.4M–$49.5M after Steam's cut $33.5M–$76.1M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
Dragon's Dogma: Dark Arisen
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.2M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.5M before the cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World

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