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wishvane

How many copies did Gears 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 721k–1.2M
$5.9M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before the cut
from 25k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Gears 5 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gears 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.9M–42.3M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Gears 5

The middle of these games

≈ 7.9M–42.3M copies

≈ $98.2M–$283.6M after Steam's cut

from ~323k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (5 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.3M–$143.2M after Steam's cut $96.8M–$220.3M before the cut
$49.99
113k reviews
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Open WorldShooter
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut $109.0M–$248.0M before the cut
$24.99
352k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.6M–30.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$153.8M–$413.4M after Steam's cut $279.6M–$636.0M before the cut
$29.99
295k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
Just Cause™ 3
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$34.3M–$92.2M after Steam's cut $62.4M–$141.9M before the cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.7M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$315.9M–$849.4M after Steam's cut $574.4M–$1306.8M before the cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
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Online Co-OpPvE
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
156k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
676k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG

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