How much revenue did Sayonara Wild Hearts make?

$917k–$2.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sayonara Wild Hearts sell?

Q: How many copies did Sayonara Wild Hearts sell?

257k to 417k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 257k–417k; $917k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before the cut; from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sayonara Wild Hearts out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sayonara Wild Hearts's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3.5M

best case 46.9M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Sayonara Wild Hearts

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–3.5M copies

≈ $17k–$11.0M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 35.7M–58.0M copies, ≈ $49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 32 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 28 to 1k.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Klang 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before the cut	$14.99	62 reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Rhythm Nights 2019	Est. copies ≈ 58–94 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $80–$213 after Steam's cut $145–$328 before the cut	$4.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	ActionIndie
SOUNDART 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before the cut	$19.99	74 reviews Mostly Positive	SportsCasual
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 35.7M–58.0M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut	$4.99	638k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
DEEMO -Reborn- 2020	Est. copies ≈ 83k–134k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut	$24.99	3k reviews Very Positive	RhythmAdventure
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut	$5.99	83k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm