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How big is The Climate Trail?

Estimated owners
≈ 432–702
from 15 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Climate Trail out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Climate Trail's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–11k
best case 187k (Threefold Recital)
Games like The Climate Trail

The middle of these games

≈ 3k–11k copies

≈ $19k–$44k after Steam's cut

from ~139 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Threefold Recital at ≈ 142k–231k copies, ≈ $586k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 62 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 16 to 2k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Drama + Mystery, priced around $15.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Draw
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21k–33k
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
830 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGAction RPG
Game Of Mafia
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before the cut
$9.99
147 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionIdler
Sentimental Death Loop
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$26k–$69k after Steam's cut $47k–$106k before the cut
$19.99
188 reviews
Mixed
AdventureSurvival Horror
Threefold Recital
2025
Est. copies
≈ 142k–231k
41x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$586k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DramaMystery
Beyond the Ice Palace 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $32k–$74k before the cut
$19.99
131 reviews
Mixed
AdventureExploration
ココロクローバー パート1/Kokoro Clover Part1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
81 reviews
Very Positive
AnimeIndie
The Shadow You
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
$9.99
46 reviews
Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Yurukill: The Calumniation Games
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before the cut
$19.99
80 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureShooter

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.