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How many copies did ICBM sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 48k–78k
$263k–$707k after Steam's cut $478k–$1.1M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ICBM out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ICBM's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 235k–1.0M
best case 1.8M (Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition)
Games like ICBM

The middle of these games

≈ 235k–1.0M copies

≈ $900k–$12.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition at ≈ 1.4M–2.2M copies, ≈ $13.0M–$35.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Military (8 of 8) and RTS (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Base-Building + RTS, priced around $35.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$19.99
4k reviews
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Wargame: Red Dragon
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's cut $16.6M–$37.7M before the cut
$29.99
20k reviews
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Armored Brigade
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
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Est. revenue
$115k–$308k after Steam's cut $208k–$474k before the cut
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SimulationStrategy
Wargame: European Escalation
2012
Est. copies
≈ 215k–349k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$590k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyRTS
Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.0M–$35.1M after Steam's cut $23.7M–$54.0M before the cut
$34.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyBase-Building
WARNO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 397k–645k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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$39.99
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WargameMilitary
War Selection
2019
Est. copies
≈ 677k–1.1M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Very Positive
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Supreme Ruler Ultimate
2014
Est. copies
≈ 70k–114k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $701k–$1.6M before the cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Grand StrategyTactical

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