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How many copies did Kessler Effect sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
from 18 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Kessler Effect out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kessler Effect's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 39k–5.4M
best case 22.6M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Kessler Effect

The middle of these games

≈ 39k–5.4M copies

≈ $53.1M–$79.2M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.2M–28.0M copies, ≈ $284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 592 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 47 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Sci-fi (5 of 8) and VR (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Elite Dangerous
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.5M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.8M–$77.4M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.1M before the cut
$19.99
107k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.1M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.4M before the cut
$39.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
Construct VR - The Volumetric Movie
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
105 reviews
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VRShort
Alien: Rogue Incursion VR
2024
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$408k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $741k–$1.7M before the cut
$39.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
AliensVR
Half-Life: Alyx
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.5M after Steam's cut $78.1M–$177.7M before the cut
$59.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRFPS
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.2M–28.0M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut $517.2M–$1176.7M before the cut
$59.99
415k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
The Great C
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
234 reviews
Very Positive
VRMovie
Bigscreen Beta
2016
Est. copies
≈ 135k–219k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRFree to Play

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