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How many copies did Alien: Isolation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
$41.0M–$110.1M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.4M before the cut
from 66k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Alien: Isolation out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alien: Isolation's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.1M–12.8M
best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)
Games like Alien: Isolation

The middle of these games

≈ 5.1M–12.8M copies

≈ $45.9M–$79.9M after Steam's cut

from ~192k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14k to 55k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (6 of 8) and Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.5M–18.7M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.0M–$255.4M after Steam's cut $172.7M–$393.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Content Warning
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before the cut
$7.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut $63.2M–$143.9M before the cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut
$14.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.6M–$136.0M after Steam's cut $92.0M–$209.3M before the cut
$19.99
221k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.5M before the cut
$29.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Subnautica: Below Zero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.5M after Steam's cut $40.2M–$91.5M before the cut
$29.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
234k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer

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