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How many copies did Paleo Pines sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 66k–108k
$546k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $993k–$2.3M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Paleo Pines out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paleo Pines's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–2.9M
best case 5.3M (DAVE THE DIVER)
Games like Paleo Pines

The middle of these games

≈ 1.7M–2.9M copies

≈ $18.0M–$30.0M after Steam's cut

from ~58k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: DAVE THE DIVER at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 31 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 43k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (6 of 8) and Farming Sim (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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