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How many copies did Trigon: Space Story sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 35k–57k
$194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$802k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Trigon: Space Story out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trigon: Space Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–45k
best case 284k (Homeworld 3)
Games like Trigon: Space Story

The middle of these games

≈ 18k–45k copies

≈ $67k–$231k after Steam's cut

from ~712 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Rogue-like (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Homeworld 3 at ≈ 217k–352k copies, ≈ $3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 236 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 58 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rogue-like (4 of 8) and Sci-fi (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sci-fi + Tactical, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Sci-fi + Tactical + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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