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How many copies did Alder's Blood: Prologue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
from 146 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Alder's Blood: Prologue out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alder's Blood: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–14k
best case 8.8M (Darkest Dungeon®)
Games like Alder's Blood: Prologue

The middle of these games

≈ 11k–14k copies

≈ $94k–$120k after Steam's cut

from ~372 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies, ≈ $46.2M–$124.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 223 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 109 to 734.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Lovecraftian (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based + Dungeon Crawler + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2025, and 2 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 4
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
372 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
434x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.2M–$124.2M after Steam's cut $84.0M–$191.0M before the cut
$24.99
162k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Penny Arcade's On the Rain-Slick Precipice of Darkness 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
600 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGLovecraftian
Stirring Abyss
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$75k–$202k after Steam's cut $136k–$310k before the cut
$24.99
440 reviews
Very Positive
LovecraftianUnderwater
Starless Abyss
2025
Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before the cut
$19.99
340 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyIndie
Legend of Keepers: Prologue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 68k–111k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDungeon Crawler
Achtung! Cthulhu Tactics
2018
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$55k–$149k after Steam's cut $101k–$229k before the cut
$24.99
265 reviews
Mixed
ZEPHON
2024
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$517k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $940k–$2.1M before the cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based

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