How many copies did Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue sell?

5k to 7k copies, based on its 182 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue make?

Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue?

Estimated owners: ≈ 5k–7k; from 182 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.6M

best case 6.7M (Papers, Please)

Games like Ashina: The Red Witch: Prologue

The middle of these games

≈ 1.1M–1.6M copies

≈ $5.3M–$14.7M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Papers, Please at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $13.9M–$37.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Simulation (7 of 8) and Multiple Endings (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Political + Simulation, priced around $10.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Contraband Police 2023	Est. copies ≈ 636k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.7M before the cut	$29.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSimulation
Papers, Please 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.9M–$37.5M after Steam's cut $25.4M–$57.7M before the cut	$9.99	80k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	IndiePolitical
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 908k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $497k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $903k–$2.1M before the cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–811k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before the cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Anno 1800 2019	Est. copies ≈ 927k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before the cut	$59.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderStrategy
Sultan's Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 868k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.7M before the cut	$24.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RPGSimulation
Beholder 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before the cut	$13.99	31k reviews Very Positive	Dystopian Choices Matter
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings